Isakhiwo sempahla yensimbi siyashintshwa, umgomo we-GDP ungama-6%, futhi ingakanani indawo eshintshile yentengo yensimbi?
Namuhla, amanani ensimbi ngokuvamile akhuphuke kancane, futhi uhlobo ngalunye luyi-yuan eyi-10-20.
Njengamanje, imakethe isaqaphela ijubane lokusuka kwempahla yensimbi. Nakuba impahla incipha ezindaweni eziningi, kusadingeka ibone izinguquko zempahla ngokwe-dialectical. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngokombono wezinga lempahla ye-Steel Association, isephezulu kakhulu kunesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule, futhi ayiphansi kunonyaka odlule. Izinga leklabhu liphezulu futhi liphansi. Izindawo zokugcina izinto zokwakha namabhodi okugoqa nawo avame kakhulu kunonyaka odlule. Akunakuthembela kakhulu ezintweni ezigciniwe ukuze kulandelwe amanani ensimbi, okulula ukwandisa izingozi. Kodwa izinguquko zezinto ezigciniwe nazo zibonisa inkinga, okuyisakhiwo sempahla.
(Ukuze ufunde kabanzi ngomthelela wemikhiqizo ethile yensimbi, njengeikhoyili embozwe ngombala, ungazizwa ukhululekile ukuxhumana nathi)
Ngokombono we-macro, isimo sokubona abaningi muva nje siphinde savuka. Okokuqala, i-WTO (WTO) ithe ngoLwesithathu yize ukukhula kokuhweba ngezimpahla zomhlaba wonke kwehle ekupheleni kuka-2022 futhi kungase kuqhubeke nokuba buthaka kwikota yokuqala yalo nyaka, lokhu kwehla kube kufushane. I-World Trade Organisation ikhombe embikweni ngoLwesithathu ukuthi ukwehla kwanoma yikuphi ukukhula kokuhweba kungase kube okwesikhashana, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokudluliselwa kwamakhonteyina kanye nama-oda amasha okuthumela kwamanye amazwe e-China Port. Okwesibili ukuthi abezindaba bangaphandle bakhiphe isitatimende sokuthi i-China ihlose ukubeka umgomo wokukhula komnotho ophezulu kulo nyaka, ongaba phezulu ngo-6%, okubonisa ukuthi ukuzethemba ekubuyiseleni umnotho kugcwele kakhulu. Uma lokhu kuyi-amplitude, kusengumthelela omuhle emananini ensimbi.
(Uma ufuna ukwazi okwengeziwe ngezindaba zemboni ku-abahlinzeki bekhoyili yensimbi ependiwe ngaphambilini, ungasithinta noma nini)
Nakuba intengo yensimbi isakhuphuka, ububanzi bayo abubukhulu kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ikusasa noma amasheya angakanani. Esitokweni, kukhona ukuzimisela kokuthumela, futhi kudinga ukugcinwa kufudumele. Kodwa-ke, ngezikhathi ezithile, inkontileka eyinhloko ibhekene namandla amakhulu okuhambisa ushintsho lwanyanga zonke lwanyanga zonke, futhi isikhathi nendawo kungase kulinganiselwe.
(Uma ufuna ukuthola intengo yemikhiqizo ethile yensimbi, njengeintengo yekhoyili yensimbi embozwe ngombala, ungaxhumana nathi ukuze uthole ikhotheshini nganoma yisiphi isikhathi)
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukwenyuka kwentengo yensimbi kushintshile kakhulu, okungenye into evimbela ukwenyuka kwentengo yensimbi.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Mashi-03-2023
