Ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo ye-Federal Reserve "kumile futhi akukaze kume", imakethe izoya kuphi ngenkathi engasebenzi?

Ezinsukwini zanamuhla ekuseni, i-Federal Reserve imemezele ukumiswa kokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo, nokugcina izinga elihlosiwe lezinga lezimali zombuso lingashintshile ku-5.0% kuya ku-5.25%.Lokhu kwagaywa ngaphambi kwesikhathi.
(Ukuze ufunde kabanzi ngomthelela wemikhiqizo ethile yensimbi, njengeUhlobo Lwenqwaba Yeshidi 4, ungazizwa ukhululekile ukuxhumana nathi)
Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi umhlangano we-Federal Reserve we-interest rate wembula ukuthi kulokhu kuwukwenyuka kwezinga “lokumisa kancane,” hhayi “stop” rate.Kulindeleke ukuthi kuphinde kunyuke kabili izinga lamaphuzu angama-25 ngaphambi kokuphela konyaka.Futhi u-Powell uphinde wabonisa emhlanganweni ukuthi ngeke kube okungalungile ukunciphisa inzalo kulo nyaka, futhi akekho phakathi kwamalungu e-FOMC owabikezela ukuncishiswa kwezinga ngo-2023. Lokhu kusho ukuthi i-Fed ayizange iyeke ukukhulisa amanani entengo, kanye nokwenzeka I-Fed yokunciphisa amanani enzalo kulo nyaka nawo abuthakathaka kakhulu.
Ukwehla kwe-Fed ekukhuphuleni izilinganiso zenzalo ngalesi sikhathi kuhambisana nokuzinza ngezikhathi ezithile kwamanani ezimpahla, kodwa kusengenzeka ukuthi kukhushulwe amanani enzalo esikhathini esizayo, futhi imakethe isazovubela ithemba kusengaphambili.Izimpahla zamazwe ngamazwe zisesikhathini sokushaqeka.
(Uma ufuna ukwazi kabanzi mayelana nezindaba zemboni kuAmasayizi Wenqwaba Yeshidi Lensimbi, ungasithinta nganoma yisiphi isikhathi)
Ngokombono wemakethe yasekhaya, i-National Bureau of Statistics ikhiphe idatha yezomnotho yasekhaya yangoMeyi namuhla.Phakathi kwazo, inani elengeziwe lamabhizinisi ezimboni ngaphezu kobukhulu obunqunyiwe, ukutshalwa kwezimali kwempahla egxilile kazwelonke, ukutshalwa kwezimali kwezakhiwo nezinye izinkomba ezihlobene kakhulu nemboni yensimbi konke kwehlile.Lokhu kukhombisa ukuthi isidingo semakethe yensimbi ngoMeyi sasibuthakathaka.Kodwa-ke, lapho ukusebenza kwedatha kubi kakhulu, kulapho imakethe ibiza khona kanye nokulindelwe ukuthi izwe lethule izinqubomgomo zokuvuselela ezinamandla esikhathini esizayo.
(Uma ufuna ukuthola intengo yemikhiqizo ethile yensimbi, njengeThayipha Inqwaba Yeshidi elingu-4ungasithinta ukuthola ikhotheshini nganoma yisiphi isikhathi)
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi, okuye kwaba sezingeni eliphezulu, ekugcineni kubuyele emuva.Ngokwemininingwane evela ku-National Bureau of Statistics, ngoMeyi, insimbi engahluziwe ephuma ezweni lami yayingamathani ayizigidi ezingu-90.12, ukwehla konyaka ngonyaka ngo-7.3%;isilinganiso sikazwelonke sokukhishwa kwensimbi engahluziwe ngoMeyi sasingamathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.907, ukwehla kwenyanga nenyanga ngo-5.9%.

Kodwa kuyafaneleka ukuqaphela ukuthi isidingo samanje siye sangena kancane kancane esikhathini sonyaka, futhi izinga lokushisa eliphakeme enyakatho kanye nesimo sezulu semvula eningizimu sikhula kancane kancane, okubophezelekile ukukhawulela kakhulu ukwakhiwa kwangaphandle.Ngakho-ke, ukuthambekela kwesidingo esibuthakathaka ku-off-season kunzima ukushintsha, futhi isidingo semakethe jikelele sizoba emdlalweni "wokulindelwe okuqinile" kanye "nesidingo esibuthakathaka".
Ngokombono wemakethe, ngemva kokungena ngoJuni, intengo yensimbi iye yaphindeka kakhulu ngokusobala, futhi imakethe iyonke iveza imakethe "engenabuthakathaka ngenkathi engekho".
Esikhathini esifushane, idatha ehlukahlukene yasekhaya ayikabi nethemba, kodwa uchungechunge lwezinqubomgomo ezethulwe muva nje zilethe inhlansi yethemba emakethe.Imakethe inokuncintisana okuqinile phakathi kwesikhathi eside nesifushane, futhi umdlalo wesikhashana awukakafezeki.Izintengo zensimbi zisesikhathini sokuguquguquka okubanzi .