Iphuzu lokuguqula?Ingabe sekuyisikhathi sokuthi izintengo zensimbi zikhuphuke?

Ijubane lokukhishwa kwenqubomgomo yomnotho omkhulu lehlile, okulindelwe ukuthi kuqhubeke ukuncishiswa kwezimali akukakanciphi, ukuhlinzekwa kwamalahle bekubuthakathaka futhi isidingo besinamandla, futhi insimbi isenamandla ngemva kokushaywa.Ngasohlangothini lokuhlinzeka, insimbi encibilikisiwe ihlala isezingeni eliphezulu phakathi nonyaka, uhlu lwezimpahla zensimbi lukhuphuke kancane, futhi umuzwa wemakethe usuxubile.Njengoba izindaba ezinhle ngasohlangothini lwempahla eluhlaza kanye nezinga elikhulu lisiza ukukhulisa ukukhula, kanye nokungqubuzana kokukhiqizwa kwensimbi encibilikisiwe ephezulu ohlangothini lokunikezela, Yini engalindelwa mayelana nendlela yesikhathi esizayo yamanani ensimbi?
(Ukuze ufunde kabanzi ngomthelela wemikhiqizo ethile yensimbi, njengei-prestressed steel concrete wire, ungazizwa ukhululekile ukuxhumana nathi)
Idatha yokuqala yase-US yezicelo zokungabi namisebenzi yesonto likaSepthemba yahlala izinzile kubantu ababalelwa ku-220,000.Kungabonakala ukuthi idatha yamanje yokuqashwa yase-US isalokhu izinzile.Mayelana nesinqumo sezinga lenzalo yaleli sonto, kuqinisekile ukuthi ngeke kube khona ukukhuphuka kwezinga lenzalo.Nakuba idatha ye-CPI yase-US isikhulile futhi idatha yokwehla kwamandla emali inyukile, isangaphakathi kwebanga lokulindelwe yimakethe.I-macroeconomics yamazwe ngamazwe iyaqhubeka nokubonisa izici ezixekethile, okuyi-bullish yezitayela zamanani ensimbi.
(Uma ufuna ukwazi kabanzi mayelana nezindaba zemboni kupc steel wire, ungasithinta nganoma yisiphi isikhathi)
Insimbi eshisayo isezingeni eliphezulu phakathi nonyaka, futhi uhlangothi lokufunwa selusungule ukusekela okuyisisekelo kwamanani ensimbi, okuqhubeza imakethe yensimbi ukuthi iqhubeke nokuba namandla.Ngaphansi kwesisekelo sokuthi izinga lenqubomgomo lihlose ukulawula intengo ephezulu yensimbi, insimbi ayizange ibe nokwehla okukhulu.Nakuba ukuqagela kwemakethe kwehlile, isidingo esiyisisekelo sisalungile, esisekela ukusebenza okuphezulu kwe-iron ore esikhathini esifushane futhi i-bullish kumathrendi entengo yensimbi.
(Uma ufuna ukuthola intengo yemikhiqizo ethile yensimbi, njengei-prestressed steel wire, ungasithinta ukuthola ikhotheshini nganoma yisiphi isikhathi)
Uhlangothi lokuhlinzekwa kwamalahle luyathinteka, futhi ukukhululwa kokuphumayo kukhawulelwe, kuyilapho uhlangothi lwesidingo luzinzile futhi luyathuthuka.Ukunikezwa okubuthakathaka kanye nesidingo esinamandla kukhuthaza ukuqhubeka kwezinkunzi ezigxile kabili.Umkhuba wamanje wokugxila kabili awukashintshi, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi uhlale uqinile esikhathini esifushane, ukusekela amanani ensimbi ohlangothini lwezindleko kanye nezitayela zentengo yensimbi ye-bullish.

Ukuhlolwa okuqinile kokuphepha ezimayini zamalahle kunomthelela omkhulu ekuphakeleni kwamalahle.Ngenxa yalokho, kube nokwehla kokukhiqizwa kwamalahle kanye nesidingo esikhulu esiqhubekayo, okubangele ukuthi amanani e-double-coke aqhubeke nokukhuphuka.Inhloko-dolobha yabaleka emakethe ye-iron ore yekusasa kanye nokuqagela kwehlile, kodwa isidingo esinamandla sensimbi eshisayo enesivinini esikhulu sisagcina amanani ensimbi esezingeni eliphezulu.Inhlanganisela yezinto ezisetshenziswayo eziqinile kanye nokulindelwe kwezomnotho omkhulu wokunciphisa imali kukhuphule amanani ensimbi ngendlela eshaqisayo.Kulindeleke ukuthi izintengo zensimbi zikhuphuke kancane kancane kusasa, ngebanga elingu-10-30 yuan/ton.